基于Agent的电动汽车生态系统模型--以旧金山为例



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  期刊信息  




Transport Policy

Volume 46, Pages 109-122

Received 15 July 2014

Accepted 26 November 2015

February 2016


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  摘    要  


近年来插电式电动汽车(EV)的广泛商业可用性促使政策鼓励采用电动汽车和基础设施来应对越来越多的电动汽车。本文作者提出了一种基于代理的EV生态系统模型,该模型将EV采用和使用与空间和时间考虑相结合,可以帮助不同的EV行业利益相关者,如政策制定者,公用事业运营商,充电站规划者和EV制造商。该模型遵循生态建模方法,用于确定不同的策略和电池技术如何影响EV采用,EV充电和充电站活动。本文作者选择模型参数以使旧金山成为测试城市并模拟不同的场景。结果提供了对旧金山电动车生态系统潜在变化的见解,这些变化是由于回扣的变化,工作场所收费的可用性,以及更密集的EV电池。本文作者发现文章结果与使用其他方法获得的结果相匹配,旧金山紧凑的地理面积及其相对财富使其成为电动汽车采用的理想城市。


键词电动车;电动汽车生态模型;旧金山


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原文信息

Abstract

The widespread commercial availability of plug-in electric vehicles (EVs) in recent years motivates po-licies to encourage EV adoption and infrastructure to cope with the increasing number of EVs. Wepresent an agent-based EV ecosystem model that incorporates EV adoption and usage with spatial andtemporal considerations and that can aid different EV industry stakeholders such as policymakers, utilityoperators, charging station planners, and EV manufacturers. The model follows an ecological modelingapproach, and is used to determine how different policies and battery technologies affect EV adoption,EV charging, and charging station activity. We choose model parameters to fit San Francisco as a test cityand simulate different scenarios. The results provide insight on potential changes to the San Francisco EVecosystem as a result of changes in rebates, availability of workplace charging, public awareness of lowerEV operational costs, and denser EV batteries. We find that our results match those obtained using otherapproaches and that the compact geographical size of San Francisco and its relative wealth make it anideal city for EV adoption.

 

Keywords: Electric vehicles ;EV ecosystem model ;San Francisco 



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句式参考



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文章作者

Adedamola Adepetu , Srinivasan Keshav , Vijay Arya 

注:文章摘自 Transport Policy, 如有侵权请联系删除,谢谢合作



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